Rule, AR Weather Warnings

Issue Date: 447 AM CDT Thu May 19 2022
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Limited. AREA...Northeast Oklahoma; Far Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...Ongoing...ending by midday. SIGNIFICANT WINDS. RISK...Limited. AREA...Northeast Oklahoma; Terrain of Southeast Oklahoma. ONSET...After midnight. DISCUSSION... There is a limited risk of severe storms this morning, mainly across northeast Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas, in the vicinity of an area of low pressure moving across the region. Damaging winds to 60 mph and hail to quarter size are the main threats. Storms should end by midday. Strong, gusty winds are expected late tonight into Friday morning across northeast Oklahoma and the terrain of southeast Oklahoma. Gusts to near 40 mph will be possible. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. FRIDAY...Severe Thunderstorm and Heavy Rain Potential. SATURDAY thru MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential. WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... An active weather pattern is expected to persist over the upcoming week. A stalling cold front will be the focus for afternoon and evening thunderstorms across eastern Oklahoma Friday. Conditions are favorable for these storms to become severe, with all modes of severe weather possible. The cold front will advance east on Saturday, and will continue to focus storms to the south of I-44, and some of these storms may become severe during the afternoon and evening. After a break on Sunday, storm potential ramps back up Sunday night into Monday and will continue into next week. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible with these storms. The highest severe weather potential is expected to be on Tuesday, as warm and unstable air lifts back north into the region ahead of an upper wave. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.