WEATHER ALERT
Issue Date: 516 PM CDT Mon May 23 2022
...HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...West of Highway 75 in Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After Midnight.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Significant.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DISCUSSION...
Widespread showers with embedded thunderstorms are ongoing late
this afternoon along and north of Interstate 44. Most of this
rainfall should remain on the light to moderate side, with some
decrease in areal coverage possible into early evening. Stronger
storms with the potential for heavy rainfall and localized flash
flooding potential will move into northeast Oklahoma late tonight
into tomorrow morning. The highest rainfall amounts through
daybreak Tuesday will be west of Highway 75 in northeast Oklahoma,
with 1 to 2 inch totals possible. Severe weather is not expected,
though a few stronger storms with gusty winds and small hail may
occur tonight across the area.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...High Wind Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms with heavy rainfall will likely be ongoing Tuesday
morning across northeast Oklahoma. This activity is expected to
spread across the remainder of eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas Tuesday into Tuesday night. Widespread 1 to 3 inch
rainfall amounts are expected with locally higher totals.
Localized flooding will be possible with any storms that move over
the same areas. The heavy rainfall threat will begin to shift
east Wednesday morning as a cold front sweeps through the area.
On Tuesday afternoon, limited severe weather potential will
exist for parts of southeast Oklahoma, with the coverage and
intensity dependent on whether breaks in the cloudiness occur and
resultant impacts on available instability.
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Continue to monitor the latest forecast today and Tuesday. A flood
watch may be needed in some areas for both flash flooding and
mainstem river flooding. Specific rainfall amounts will continue
to be refined over the next 24 hours.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.